Fantasy Draft Guide: WR Tiers and Evals

Comprehensive Fantasy Rankings for the WR Position

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Draft Guide: WR Tiers and Evals

By: Mike Johnson (X: @mjohnson_86 -- Discord: @MJohnson86)
Tier 1 WRs – "Alphas In Great Environments"

The best of the best, these three wide receivers are among the most talented receivers in the league AND operate in offenses that we can safely assume will throw the ball well and at elevated rates. This combination of talent, volume, opportunity, and offensive environment separates this trio from everyone else.

  • Ja’Marr Chase, CIN

    • Chase has potentially the highest weekly ceiling of any player in the league but has dealt with injuries of his own along with Joe Burrow’s wrist issue.

  • CeeDee Lamb, DAL

    • Last year’s WR1 finished the year on a torrid stretch and should be fed the ball an excessive amount when he’s on the field. His current contract standoff bumps him below Chase for me.

  • Justin Jefferson, MIN

    • WR1 in 2022, 24+ PPR points in six of nine healthy games in 2023, and WR2 in 2024. Jefferson is a virtual lock for top-five production if he is on the field. The lone concern right now is a lingering training camp hamstring injury.

Tier 2 WRs – “Alphas With Question Marks”

These are wide receivers who possess the talent to potentially join the “Tier 1” group, but have questions around their health, offensive environment, and/or volume that make them slightly riskier picks than the top three. Essentially, these guys have a similar ceiling but a lower floor than the Tier 1 WRs.

  • Amon-Ra St. Brown, DET

    • ARSB has finished the last three seasons as the WR3, WR3, and WR7. The Lions want to lean on their running game and ARSB doesn’t have the same explosiveness as some other WRs, so he is probably never going to be THE WR1, but as long as he stays healthy he is a virtual lock for top-10 production. His biggest concern for 2025 is the loss of offensive coordinator Ben Johnson.

  • Puka Nacua, LAR

    • Puka was the overall WR4 in his rookie season and the WR3 in points per game in 2024. This year, he once again projects as a top-five wide receiver pending the health of Matthew Stafford, whose status is in question due to a back injury. If we knew Stafford would be on the field, Puka would be a Tier 1 receiver.

  • Malik Nabers, NYG

    • An absolute stud, Nabers has a chance to lead the league in targets if he can stay on the field. WR6 as a rookie despite missing two and a half games, Nabers has overall WR1 potential. His biggest question marks are a lingering toe injury and a questionable offensive environment.

  • Nico Collins, HOU

    • Collins was dominating to begin 2024 before a hamstring injury cost him a month of the season. He should benefit from a new offensive coordinator and lack of target competition from the Houston backfield and tight-end position.

  • Brian Thomas Jr., JAX

    • Thomas was dominant to end 2024 and finished as the WR4 on the season. The Jaguars had a Week 12 bye and from that point on, Chase was the only WR who scored more points than Thomas. The addition of Travis Hunter and a new offensive play-caller brings into question if Thomas can see the volume needed to be a top-five WR once again.

  • Drake London, ATL

    • London quietly finished 2024 as the WR5 thanks to playing the full season and a massive Week 18 game. He showed a higher ceiling than past years, with games of 33 and 41 PPR points, which raises his overall outlook with what projects as the best offense and QB of his career this year.

  • A.J. Brown, PHI

    • Consecutive top-five WR seasons upon joining the Eagles before missing several games to injury in 2024 and finishing as WR12 in points per game. Brown still has elite talent, and if the Eagles pass rate picks back up, he will be in the top-five discussion.

  • Tyreek Hill, MIA

    • It is a simple question of whether Tyreek still has “it” and his head is in the right place. I tend to believe that after a down year he will be intent on proving doubters wrong and earning one more big contract.

  • Ladd McConkey, LAC

    • Quickly became the apple of Justin Herbert’s eye in his rookie season. He is the focal point of a passing game for an offense that wants to run the ball at a high rate. However, backfield and offensive-line injuries are increasing the likelihood of the Chargers throwing more in 2025.

Tier 3 WRs – "A Step Below"

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