Buy Low, Sell High - Week 3

By: Mike Johnson (@Mjohnson86)

These are the guys who public perception may be low on but have brighter days ahead…..as well as the guys who may be coming off a big game but have a tough schedule or potential role change in their future.

BUY LOW

Travis Kelce, TE, KC

• Kelce was drafted as the first or second tight end off the board in most leagues, but he has only 8 PPR points through two weeks. His manager is likely frustrated with him, but now is the time to buy. Isiah Pacheco broke his leg in Week 2 and the Bengals’ run defense was inviting the Chiefs to run at a higher-than-normal rate. The injury to Pacheco will likely push Kansas City back to its ultra pass-heavy ways and Kelce’s volume and efficiency should both spike in the coming weeks. The Chiefs have potential shootouts against the Falcons, Saints, and 49ers offenses in their next four games, making this the perfect time to buy Kelce on the cheap from a frustrated manager.

Garrett Wilson, WR, NYJ

• The Jets’ offense is slowly finding itself and Wilson has not done anything special through two weeks. However, he is incredibly talented and has a great rapport with Aaron Rodgers. Big plays are coming at some point and Wilson has faced a very good 49ers defense and a Titans defense that also shut down all the Bears WRs in Week 1. He faces the Patriots on national TV on Thursday night this week and the Patriots’ run defense is very good, which could funnel extra work and a big game towards Wilson. Pounce while you can, Wilson could end up an elite option at the position over the next several weeks with all the injuries to other high-end WRs. 

DJ Moore, WR, CHI

• We could put Caleb Williams in here, but you can probably just pick him up off waivers in most leagues and don’t necessarily have to “buy” him. The Bears’ offense has not looked good at all through two weeks, but their next six games are: Colts, Rams, Panthers, Jaguars, Commanders, Cardinals. This is still a team loaded with talent and Moore has underperformed thus far while the offense has looked out of sync. A string of solid matchups and game environments should do the trick and I’d expect some huge performances from Moore during the upcoming stretch.

Patrick Mahomes, QB, KC

• As mentioned in the Travis Kelce section, the Chiefs are likely to raise their pass rate significantly from what we saw in Week 2, and Kansas City had very low play volume in Week 1 against the Ravens. Mahomes is going to have to carry this team going forward and is currently the QB12 through the first two weeks, making him someone that whoever owns him will likely be willing to entertain offers for.

SELL HIGH

JK Dobbins, RB, LAC

• Dobbins is one of the feel-good stories of the NFL so far this year, with two great games to start the season after a series of devastating injuries the last few years. While I don’t expect him to fall off completely, there are signs that this could be the peak of his value. He is still someone with an injury history that could pop back up at any time. The Chargers are coming off a game against the hapless Panthers and now have to face the elite Steelers defense before a date with the Chiefs. Also, quarterback Justin Herbert is dealing with a leg injury that could hurt the effectiveness of the offense as a whole. Dobbins is the RB4 through two weeks and his value is unlikely to ever be higher.

Kyren Williams, RB, LAR

• Williams may be likely to see a spike in volume in the short term as the Rams attempt to figure things out without Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua, but this is also a team with an offensive line in disarray and that is not too far away from their season completely getting away from them. They face good defenses the next three weeks in the 49ers, Bears, and Packers, so it is hard to expect a spike in efficiency coming soon with few holes opening up and the other Rams stars not around to draw attention away. Williams is likely still valued highly as he has had two solid games so far, but he is the perfect “Sell High” candidate at the moment because his situation (volume, role) still appears good enough on the surface to where you can get a good return for him.

Join us Thursday for Week 3 Starts and Fades!