Buy Low, Sell High - Week 4

By: Mike Johnson (@Mjohnson86)

These are the guys who public perception may be low on but have brighter days ahead…..as well as the guys who may be coming off a big game but have a tough schedule or potential role change in their future.

BUY LOW

DJ Moore, WR, CHI

• While Moore hasn’t been terrible, he hasn’t posted any big games yet this season as the Bears’ offense has stumbled a bit out of the gates. We had Moore in here last week as well and he had a fine game, but nothing that should skyrocket his value. Rookie quarterback Caleb Williams had his best game in Week 3, but rookie receiver Rome Odunze is the one who posted the big receiving performance with 115 yards and a touchdown. Moore has 28 targets through three games, and his upcoming schedule is about as good as you can draw up for the next five weeks: LAR, CAR, JAX, @ WAS, @ ARI. The Bears’ offense is about to take off and we’ve seen Moore have monster games before. He has at least two huge games coming in the next five weeks, and now is the time to get him while he is still under the radar.

Brandon Aiyuk, WR, SF

• The 49ers are coming off an ugly loss to the Rams where Jauan Jennings was the star with a massive game in a spot everyone expected Aiyuk to go off in. However, the bigger picture shows Aiyuk should have better days ahead. Brock Purdy was terrific, Christian McCaffrey is going to be out for a long time, and Jennings will draw more defensive attention going forward. Also, the 49ers’ defensive struggles should lead to an elevated pass rate compared to what we’ve seen in the past. We don’t know when Deebo Samuel and George Kittle will return, but Aiyuk should be a focal part of the offense going forward.

Tee Higgins, WR, CIN

• Higgins finally made his 2024 debut in Week 3 against the Commanders and had a relatively disappointing game with only three receptions for 39 yards on six targets. After waiting him out the first two weeks and then having him disappoint against a poor Washington secondary, his owner may be willing to part with him for a modest price. The bigger picture is that the Bengals’ defense appears to have a lot of issues and the Bengals passing game is finally hitting its stride with all its pieces in place. Higgins will have better days ahead as the Bengals take to the air and opponents key in on Chase.

Josh Jacobs, RB, GB

• Jacobs is coming off a poor game against Tennessee in which the Packers jumped out to a big lead, and he split time with Emanuel Wilson for the last three quarters. Jacobs played 12 of 16 snaps in the first quarter, however, and rookie RB MarShawn Lloyd was sent to injured reserve last week. Green Bay should be getting Jordan Love back this week and has a huge divisional game against Minnesota, followed by a stretch of four great matchups against the Rams, Cardinals, Texans, and Jaguars. The Jacobs owner in your league may be panicking a bit from the split with Wilson and Jacobs failing to find the end zone through three weeks. He is the perfect Buy Low candidate, as he is healthy and in a strong offense with a strong role, but others may be frustrated by his production to date.

SELL HIGH

Zach Charbonnet, RB, SEA

• After a massive game in Week 3 against the Dolphins, Charbonnet’s value may never be higher. He faces the Lions this week, who have been dominant against opposing running backs. After that, he has an OK matchup with the Giants and then faces the 49ers’ stout run defense. At some point, Kenneth Walker III will return as well. Now is the time to move him before the prospect of Walker’s return kills his value and before two matchups where he’s likely to post very replaceable stat lines.

Davante Adams, WR, LVR

• Adams had a poor Week 3 outing, but his big game in Week 2 is fresh enough for him to still have solid value. However, he has a treacherous upcoming stretch against the Browns, Broncos, and Steelers. The Browns and Broncos have two of the better cornerbacks in the NFL who blanket opposing WR1s, while the Steelers have been one of the top defenses in the league. Adding to these issues is the fact that Raiders head coach Antonio Pierce said he is considering a QB change and going back to second-year QB Aidan O’Connell. That change could lead to a much more conservative Raiders offense that looks similar to how they ended 2023.

  Join us Thursday for Week 4 Starts/Fades!